Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
29.1%
Draw
37.5%
Wehen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Erzgebirge Aue
vs
1.32
Wehen
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.9%
0-1
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.9%
2-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).