Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Preston
28.0%
Draw
22.9%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Preston
vs
0.94
Reading
Markets
BTTS48.1%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-0
9.8%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).