Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.7%
Aris
16.0%
Draw
16.3%
Marseille
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Aris
vs
1.26
Marseille
Markets
BTTS66.2%
Over 0.598.4%
Over 1.589.9%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.555.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
2-0
7.0%
1-1
6.3%
3-0
6.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
4-1
5.2%
3-2
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
4-0
4.2%
4-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).