Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Wurzburger Kickers
26.8%
Draw
26.3%
Erzgebirge Aue
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Wurzburger Kickers
vs
1.17
Erzgebirge Aue
Markets
BTTS56.5%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.578.0%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.8%
0-1
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).