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HHT: 10CSV

12 Mar 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.8%
Eastleigh
21.4%
Draw
15.8%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.14

Eastleigh

vs
1.00

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS56.5%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.538.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.0%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
3-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
1-2
4.6%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).