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28 Oct 2021 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.8%
Como
18.4%
Draw
8.8%
Pordenone

Expected Goals (xG)

2.29

Como

vs
0.69

Pordenone

Markets

BTTS45.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.6%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.9%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
4.0%
2-2
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
0-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).