Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.4%
Belenenses
29.9%
Draw
42.8%
Setubal
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Belenenses
vs
1.11
Setubal
Markets
BTTS37.0%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.557.0%
Over 2.530.5%
Over 3.513.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.7%
0-0
13.9%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.5%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
4.9%
0-3
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).