Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.9%
Lens
17.3%
Draw
7.9%
Reims
Expected Goals (xG)
2.02
Lens
vs
0.47
Reims
Markets
BTTS31.8%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.3%
2-0
17.0%
3-0
11.5%
2-1
7.9%
0-0
7.9%
1-1
7.4%
4-0
5.8%
3-1
5.3%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-0
2.3%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).