Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Queens Park Rangers
26.2%
Draw
24.7%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Queens Park Rangers
vs
1.13
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.5%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
0-1
5.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.7%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).