Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.0%
Takeley
37.8%
Draw
46.3%
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Expected Goals (xG)
0.39
Takeley
vs
0.89
Ellistown & Ibstock Utd.
Markets
BTTS18.7%
Over 0.572.5%
Over 1.536.2%
Over 2.513.8%
Over 3.54.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
27.5%
0-1
25.0%
1-0
11.2%
0-2
10.9%
1-1
9.4%
1-2
4.3%
0-3
3.2%
2-0
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-2
0.8%
0-4
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).