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AHT: 12CSV

25 Apr 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.0%
Mansfield
26.0%
Draw
28.0%
Leyton Orient

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Mansfield

vs
1.02

Leyton Orient

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.543.2%
Over 3.522.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).