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AHT: 02CSV

07 Oct 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.0%
QPR
29.4%
Draw
26.6%
Blackburn

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

QPR

vs
0.99

Blackburn

Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.568.8%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.0%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.4%
0-2
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).