Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.0%
Besiktas
22.9%
Draw
10.1%
Kasımpaşa
Expected Goals (xG)
2.20
Besiktas
vs
0.81
Kasımpaşa
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.557.9%
Over 3.535.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.0%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.8%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
4.8%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-2
3.5%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).