Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.9%
Werder Bremen
22.7%
Draw
53.4%
Hoffenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Werder Bremen
vs
2.03
Hoffenheim
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.585.3%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.543.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.0%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
7.3%
0-1
6.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
0-3
4.9%
2-3
4.3%
0-0
4.2%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).