Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.1%
Oviedo
22.3%
Draw
8.7%
Lugo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Oviedo
vs
0.41
Lugo
Markets
BTTS27.5%
Over 0.587.8%
Over 1.561.9%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.7%
2-0
17.4%
0-0
12.2%
3-0
9.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
0-1
5.2%
4-0
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
1-2
1.8%
4-1
1.7%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).