Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Charlton
31.7%
Draw
32.9%
QPR
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Charlton
vs
1.06
QPR
Markets
BTTS44.8%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
11.6%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
3-0
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).