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DHT: 00CSV

30 Mar 2019

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.0%
Aldershot
20.3%
Draw
19.8%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

2.38

Aldershot

vs
1.34

Fylde

Markets

BTTS67.6%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.589.2%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.551.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.2%
1-1
8.4%
3-1
7.3%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-0
5.5%
1-2
5.2%
1-0
5.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-1
4.4%
4-0
3.3%
0-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).