Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →77.7%
Burnley
18.5%
Draw
3.8%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Burnley
vs
0.26
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS19.6%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
21.5%
2-0
20.9%
3-0
13.4%
0-0
11.8%
4-0
6.4%
1-1
6.0%
2-1
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
0-1
2.5%
5-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
1-2
0.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).