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AHT: 00CSV

22 Apr 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.8%
Kaiserslautern
23.1%
Draw
26.1%
Dresden

Expected Goals (xG)

2.05

Kaiserslautern

vs
1.44

Dresden

Markets

BTTS67.3%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.587.1%
Over 2.567.7%
Over 3.546.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
1-0
5.4%
3-2
4.5%
3-0
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).