Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Cremonese
20.1%
Draw
13.3%
Mantova
Expected Goals (xG)
2.28
Cremonese
vs
0.94
Mantova
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
3-0
7.9%
3-1
7.4%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
1-2
4.0%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).