Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →83.1%
Leeds
12.6%
Draw
4.3%
Cardiff
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Leeds
vs
0.52
Cardiff
Markets
BTTS38.5%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
3-0
13.1%
1-0
10.1%
4-0
9.0%
2-1
7.5%
3-1
6.9%
1-1
6.0%
5-0
4.9%
4-1
4.7%
0-0
4.3%
5-1
2.6%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).