Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.7%
Eibar
25.9%
Draw
9.4%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
Eibar
vs
0.37
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS23.8%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
23.5%
2-0
17.0%
0-0
16.0%
1-1
8.6%
3-0
8.2%
2-1
6.3%
0-1
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-0
3.0%
1-2
1.6%
2-2
1.2%
0-2
1.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).