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DHT: 22CSV

27 Oct 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Monza
29.2%
Draw
42.1%
Venezia

Expected Goals (xG)

0.92

Monza

vs
1.18

Venezia

Markets

BTTS41.4%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.561.7%
Over 2.535.0%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.1%
1-0
11.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
5.2%
2-2
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
3-1
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).