Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.2%
GAIS
25.4%
Draw
17.4%
Kalmar
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
GAIS
vs
0.90
Kalmar
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.576.1%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.0%
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
8.0%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).