Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →89.8%
Chelsea
8.3%
Draw
1.9%
Norwich
Expected Goals (xG)
3.28
Chelsea
vs
0.43
Norwich
Markets
BTTS33.8%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.5%
Over 3.550.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
14.5%
2-0
13.2%
4-0
11.9%
5-0
7.8%
1-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
2-1
5.6%
4-1
5.0%
1-1
3.9%
5-1
3.3%
0-0
2.9%
3-2
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).