Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.4%
Fleetwood Town
26.4%
Draw
31.2%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.08
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS47.6%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).