Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.2%
Newcastle
14.2%
Draw
75.5%
Scunthorpe
Expected Goals (xG)
0.91
Newcastle
vs
2.71
Scunthorpe
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.4%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.548.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.0%
0-3
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
1-1
6.4%
0-4
6.0%
1-4
5.5%
2-2
4.1%
2-3
3.7%
0-5
3.3%
2-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).