Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →58.4%
Walsall
22.8%
Draw
18.8%
Morecambe
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Walsall
vs
0.85
Morecambe
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.6%
2-0
11.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.1%
4-0
2.8%
0-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).