Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.6%
Cadiz
26.8%
Draw
16.6%
Valladolid
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Cadiz
vs
0.67
Valladolid
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.588.2%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
12.8%
0-0
11.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
7.5%
3-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-2
2.9%
0-2
2.6%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).