Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.1%
Pisa
23.7%
Draw
15.3%
Ternana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
Pisa
vs
0.86
Ternana
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.530.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.4%
1-1
11.3%
1-0
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.4%
0-1
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
4-0
3.5%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).