Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Mansfield
22.6%
Draw
19.9%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Mansfield
vs
0.91
Accrington
Markets
BTTS49.0%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.574.0%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
0-1
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).