Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.6%
Barrow
27.5%
Draw
27.9%
Harrogate
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Barrow
vs
0.93
Harrogate
Markets
BTTS42.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.0%
0-0
10.6%
2-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
4.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).