Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Tenerife
25.5%
Draw
48.1%
Santander
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Tenerife
vs
1.52
Santander
Markets
BTTS50.7%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).