Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.9%
Istra 1961
32.0%
Draw
40.1%
Hajduk Split
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Istra 1961
vs
1.23
Hajduk Split
Markets
BTTS45.8%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.566.3%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.8%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
9.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).