Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.4%
Alanyaspor
33.5%
Draw
21.1%
Kasımpaşa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Alanyaspor
vs
0.91
Kasımpaşa
Markets
BTTS48.3%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.570.5%
Over 2.540.8%
Over 3.520.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.8%
0-0
13.0%
1-0
10.7%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).