Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.7%
Moreirense
26.3%
Draw
22.0%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Moreirense
vs
0.97
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS50.6%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
2-2
4.6%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).