Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →2.5%
Rotherham
14.0%
Draw
83.5%
Burnley
Expected Goals (xG)
0.24
Rotherham
vs
2.26
Burnley
Markets
BTTS19.5%
Over 0.591.4%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
20.9%
0-1
18.2%
0-3
15.8%
0-4
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
1-2
5.0%
1-1
4.8%
0-5
4.0%
1-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
1-0
1.6%
1-5
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).