Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.9%
Ath Madrid
25.2%
Draw
17.9%
Osasuna
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Ath Madrid
vs
0.79
Osasuna
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.3%
2-0
11.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.4%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).