Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.6%
Gil Vicente
21.6%
Draw
11.8%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Gil Vicente
vs
0.72
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS45.2%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.1%
1-0
12.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.8%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.4%
0-1
4.0%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.4%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).