Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.5%
Benfica
10.2%
Draw
3.3%
Belenenses
Expected Goals (xG)
2.68
Benfica
vs
0.35
Belenenses
Markets
BTTS27.5%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
17.3%
3-0
15.5%
1-0
13.1%
4-0
10.3%
2-1
6.1%
5-0
5.5%
3-1
5.5%
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-1
2.0%
0-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).