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20 Apr 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.3%
Bonnyrigg Rose
25.6%
Draw
59.1%
Spartans

Expected Goals (xG)

0.90

Bonnyrigg Rose

vs
1.90

Spartans

Markets

BTTS52.2%
Over 0.592.0%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.530.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-2
11.0%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
7.0%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.4%
1-0
3.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).