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AHT: 10

13 Apr 2025 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Khimki
24.7%
Draw
28.5%
Krylya Sovetov

Expected Goals (xG)

1.89

Khimki

vs
1.45

Krylya Sovetov

Markets

BTTS66.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.8%
1-0
5.6%
0-0
4.7%
3-2
4.2%
3-0
4.0%
0-1
4.0%
0-2
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).