Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →54.3%
Parma
28.3%
Draw
17.4%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Parma
vs
0.75
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS42.5%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
1-1
13.0%
2-0
11.9%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
6.6%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).