Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.7%
Espanol
21.3%
Draw
8.0%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Espanol
vs
0.40
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS27.3%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
20.4%
2-0
17.8%
0-0
11.6%
3-0
10.3%
1-1
8.1%
2-1
7.2%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
4.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
5-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).