Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.8%
Monaco
22.7%
Draw
24.5%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.78
Monaco
vs
1.14
Lille
Markets
BTTS56.2%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.533.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.6%
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
3-0
5.1%
0-2
3.5%
3-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).