Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.0%
Boreham Wood
22.2%
Draw
35.7%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Boreham Wood
vs
1.87
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS74.0%
Over 0.597.3%
Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.574.6%
Over 3.554.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
8.4%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
3-2
4.9%
2-3
4.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-0
4.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-0
3.5%
0-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).