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AHT: 11CSV

26 Jan 2021 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.8%
Alcorcon
32.1%
Draw
40.1%
Albacete

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Alcorcon

vs
1.02

Albacete

Markets

BTTS34.9%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.554.0%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
16.7%
0-0
16.1%
1-1
13.1%
1-0
13.1%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
2-0
5.1%
0-3
2.9%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).