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AHT: 02CSV

06 Aug 2017

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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25.5%
Greuther Furth
23.6%
Draw
50.8%
Bielefeld

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Greuther Furth

vs
1.98

Bielefeld

Markets

BTTS65.2%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.585.7%
Over 2.565.1%
Over 3.543.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-2
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
0-1
6.0%
0-3
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
4.3%
1-0
3.9%
2-0
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).