Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →45.0%
Luton
32.2%
Draw
22.8%
Wigan
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Luton
vs
0.77
Wigan
Markets
BTTS38.1%
Over 0.584.9%
Over 1.559.1%
Over 2.531.1%
Over 3.513.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.9%
0-0
15.1%
1-1
13.8%
2-0
10.0%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
4.9%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
4.0%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.9%
1-3
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).