Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →56.5%
Sociedad
23.0%
Draw
20.6%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.90
Sociedad
vs
1.06
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.534.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.3%
0-1
5.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-1
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).